Attainment 8 estimates for 2019

29 August 2019

Following another extensive collaboration exercise between schools, SISRA has kindly allowed ASCL to publish early estimates for Attainment 8 (A8), and are shown in the table below.  We extend our thanks to SISRA and participating schools for making this possible. As always in this type of undertaking, these are provisional and are a best estimate at this stage.

Whilst the parameters involved in Progress 8 are becoming more stable, even small changes can affect schools’ scores. Compared to 2018 DfE figures, there appears to be a drop in averages for lower ability pupils (see graph below). This is most likely to be because of a different profile of Key Stage 2 results for this cohort back in 2014. An apparent increase in averages for more able pupils could have a range of explanations.

ASCL member and headteacher David Blow has written a supporting technical paper to explain this change, and which is available here.

Attainment-8-figures-2019.jpg

Further insight into this year’s results will be available at the Getting to Grips with Accountability Leadership of Data Conferences: 25 September in Leeds and 1 October in London.  

Early estimates for Attainment 8

KS2 2019 A8 estimates
1.5 18.96
2 17.49
2.5 17.64
2.8 18.47
2.9 19.75
3 20.39
3.1 21.83
3.2 22.66
3.3 23.07
3.4 23.59
3.5 24.85
3.6 25.39
3.7 26.58
3.8 27.39
4 30.51
4.1 31.53
4.2 32.96
4.3 34.39
4.4 36.06
4.5 37.72
4.6 39.82
4.7 42.03
4.8 44.36
4.9 46.63
5 49.29
5.1 52.22
5.2 54.72
5.3 58.03
5.4 61.73
5.5 65.07
5.6 69.35
5.7 73.64
5.8 77.87


 

Related Pages

September pupil level data checking exercise and provisional DfE performance indicators

  • Assessment
  • Accountability
  • Inspection
  • Ofsted
  • Key Stage 2
  • Attainment 8
  • Key Stage 4
  • GCSE
  • BTEC
  • Performance Tables
  • Progress 8

Education Inspection Framework 2019: Inspecting the quality of education

  • Curriculum
  • Assessment
  • Accountability
  • Inspection
  • Ofsted
  • Attainment 8
  • Progress 8

Pupil Premium guidance and templates

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